Indonesia, Vietnam deemed high risk countries for Oil & Gas investors

Indonesia’s climate for investments in the oil & gas sector weakened significantly due to restrictions on foreign direct investments according to a new ranking from the Emerging Markets Group of Alliant Insurance Services (www.alliant.com).

Chinese rig causes territorial disputes

Furthermore, the report says that opportunities in Vietnam remain hampered by the South China Sea dispute, and investors in Egypt are at risk of confusing gradual political risk improvements for newfound, long-term stability.

Alliant’s Frontier Energy Risk Index provides oil & gas companies and investors with a yearly snapshot of changes in political risk levels in 14 emerging economies selected for their potential as “frontier oil & gas producing countries.”

Indonesia’s risk climate has weakened substantially over the past year, off 62 percent from its 2013 ranking. “The downgrade is largely due to the newly imposed restrictions on foreign investments, first in the mining sector, and now in the oil & gas sector,” said Dr. Michel Léonard, Chief Economist with Alliant’s Emerging Markets Group. “We expect this trend to continue regardless of the upcoming presidential elections.”

Indonesia was followed by Vietnam, which saw a 19 percent downgrade due to military tensions in the South China Sea. “Chinese authorities’ decision to move an oil rig into Vietnam’s exclusive economic zone is the most notable of many recent confrontations between China and other countries in the South China Sea,” said Dr. Léonard. “In the long term, we expect China’s actions to lead not to territorial expansion, but to China being granted rights to production in the waters it is claiming. Oil & gas companies should be aware of the changes this will bring to any current or future licensing agreements signed in the South China Sea, especially with Vietnam.”

Additional countries in negative territory were Thailand and Malaysia, with Yemen showing no change from 2013.

In Egypt, which received a five percent upgrade, Dr. Léonard warns investors to remain cautious of overestimating these improvements. “Egypt has emerged from a long run of political instability and a recent regime change to show some positive movement in our risk models. However, we remain guarded about its long-term prospects and warn investors not to confuse gradual improvements with medium or long-term structural stability,” he says.

Countries showing the greatest improvement included Ecuador (22 percent), Equatorial Guinea (17 percent), and Algeria (12 percent), while Libya, Republic of the Congo (RoC), Gabon, Angola, and Kazakhstan all posted modest gains.

The Frontier Energy Risk Index is based on macroeconomic and political risk loss data assembled through Alliant’s proprietary database and relationships with senior government sources. The rankings provide oil & gas companies and investors with a clear picture of the business risks associated with operations in these 14 countries. The full rankings can be found below:

Indonesia, Vietnam deemed high risk countries for Oil & Gas investors

August 19, 2014

Share this article

Follow Offshore Energy Today

Events>

<< Oct 2019 >>
MTWTFSS
30 1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31 1 2 3

Executive Oil Conference & Expo 2019

Executive Oil Conference and Exhibition is a unique opportunity to meet with all of the region’s…

read more >

Oil & Gas Vietnam 2019

Oil & Gas Vietnam (OGAV) 2019 is the only specialized oil & gas event in Vietnam that brings together an international congregation of both upstream and downstream oil and gas companies and also its supporting industries gathered in the heart of Vietnam’s oil and gas industry in Vung Tau, to showcase the latest developments in the oil and gas industry.

read more >

Jobs>

Looking to fill a job opening?

By advertising your job here, on the homepage of OffshoreEnergyToday.com, you'll reach countless professionals in the sector. For more information, click below...

apply

Looking to fill a job opening?

By advertising your job here, on the homepage of OffshoreEnergyToday.com, you'll reach countless professionals in the sector. For more information, click below...

apply